Oil slips, US crude stocks could rise on lower refinery runs

Reuters - October 28th, 2012

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SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil slipped on Monday, with Brent falling below $109 a barrel, as refineries along the U.S. East Coast lowered run rates ahead of approaching Hurricane Sandy, reducing crude use in the world's largest oil consumer.

The run cuts come after a rise of nearly 6 million barrels in U.S. crude stocks in the week to October 19. The world's spare oil production capacity outside of Iran also rose in the last two months as U.S. gasoline demand waned and oil use for power generation fell in the Middle East, the U.S.

"East Coast lowered run rates ahead of approaching Hurricane Sandy, reducing crude use in the world's largest oil consumer.The run cuts come after a rise of nearly 6 million barrels in U.S"government said in a bimonthly report.

Brent crude had fallen 42 cents to $109.13 a barrel by 0138 GMT after posting a 0.5 percent loss last week. U.S. crude was down 32 cents at $85.96.

"With refineries cutting runs, we're likely to see a build-up in crude stocks which could be driving bearish prices at the moment," said Michael Creed, an economist at National Australia Bank in Melbourne.

Hurricane Sandy, which could become the largest storm ever to hit the U.S., is expected to slam into the East Coast on Monday night. Oil refineries there began to cut rates on Sunday, spurred by fears of power outages.

Six East Coast oil refineries representing 1.19 million barrels per day -- or 7 percent of total U.S. capacity -- could potentially be hit by the deadly storm.

U.S.

heating oil and RBOB gasoline futures and their crack spreads rose as speculators expect fuel supply to tighten and are betting on wider price spreads between products and crude.

"The buying of crack spreads has put downside pressure on crude," said Yusuke Seta, a commodity sales manager at Newedge Japan.

A crack spread is the price differences between an oil product and crude. To buy the spread, investors buy the oil product contract and sell crude simultaneously.

Speculators have also cut their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions to the lowest level in three months in the week to October 23 as prices fell by almost 6 percent, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said.

EYES ON BUZZARD

The impending restart of Britain's largest oilfield and a quick recovery in Nigerian crude output also limited Brent's gains.

The Buzzard field in the North Sea is expected to restart by Monday and its operator, Nexen (NXY.TO), has said the field will return to full operations over the next two weeks.

Nigerian oil exports in December are expected reach the highest level since May, pointing to a swift recovery of production after floods knocked out a fifth of the output in the top African producer.

In Iraq, exports of Basra Light are set to hit their highest level ever at 2.531 million barrels per day in November, traders said and a preliminary program showed.

(Reporting by Florence Tan; Editing by Joseph Radford)

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